Mildly blue or a blue tsunami? 9 states will decide if Dems flip control of U.S. Senate
Democrats need to flip four seats on a map favoring Republicans, with Trump's 39% approval rating and Iran-driven inflation shaping the fight for a 53-47 Senate.

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Jacob covers federal policy and helps direct national coverage as deputy Washington bureau chief for States Newsroom. Based in Oregon, he focuses on Western issues. His coverage areas include climate, energy development, public lands and infrastructure. Before joining States Newsroom, Jacob was a national reporter for CQ Roll Call, where he covered state policy trends and federal-state relations. Originally from Minneapolis, Jacob has a bachelor's degree from the University of Minnesota and a master's degree in journalism from Northwestern University.
Democrats need to flip four seats on a map favoring Republicans, with Trump's 39% approval rating and Iran-driven inflation shaping the fight for a 53-47 Senate.

Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted Ohio and Alaska toward Democrats, but says the party must sweep four toss-ups plus Georgia, New Hampshire, and Minnesota to flip the Senate.

Trump invoked the Defense Production Act to fund coal plants and mines across nine states, drawing praise from GOP governors and fire from environmental groups who call it a polluter bailout.

Trump's approval rating has sunk below 40% amid soaring gas prices from the Iran war, offsetting GOP redistricting efforts that could protect only 8-10 seats.

Officers who defended the Capitol say the fund could compensate pardoned rioters and finance future violence against them.

A gunman opened fire at the White House Correspondents' Dinner at Washington's Hilton Hotel Saturday night, wounding a police officer before being apprehended. Trump, who was evacuated safely, called it a third assassination attempt and pledged to reschedule the event within 30 days.

Virginia voters approved a constitutional amendment allowing Democrats to redraw House districts in their favor, potentially netting the party 4 new seats and evening out Republican redistricting efforts in other states.

A new study found at least 2.5 million people lost SNAP benefits in the 6 months after the One Big Beautiful Bill became law — without any improvement in economic conditions to explain the drop.

Most TSA officers received 4 weeks of back pay Monday after a presidential order redirected funds, but the 45-day partial DHS shutdown — now the longest in U.S. history — continues as Congress remains deadlocked on a solution.

Ohio Sen. Bernie Moreno and Wisconsin Sen. Tammy Baldwin are pushing the Commerce Department to investigate John Deere, Caterpillar, and CNH for offshoring manufacturing jobs to Mexico while paying billions to shareholders.

Nearly 3,500 TSA officers called out Monday — the highest rate since the partial DHS shutdown began Feb. 14 — as the Trump administration deployed ICE agents to major airports to manage hours-long security lines.

TSA officers are working without pay as the partial government shutdown stretches on, driving absenteeism and multi-hour security lines at airports across the country.

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